Recent AI advancements could increase the likelihood of human-caused pandemics by five times, according to a study involving biosecurity experts. AI tools like ChatGPT and Claude can assist amateur biologists in troubleshooting complex virology tasks, previously a significant barrier to bioweapon creation. A survey revealed that biosecurity experts estimated the risk of a human-caused pandemic at 0.3% annually, but this jumped to 1.5% if AI matched expert-level performance in virology. Such developments raise concerns about the accessibility of pandemic-causing knowledge.
The ability of AI tools like ChatGPT or Claude to provide troubleshooting advice to amateur biologists marks a significant milestone in bioweapon development risks.
Safety experts long considered the complexity of bioweapon creation as a key barrier. AI’s capabilities now dissolve that barrier, making it more accessible.
The average biosecurity expert predicted the chance of a human-caused pandemic at 0.3%. With AI’s role, that risk could surge to 1.5% in any given year.
The results of AI tests conducted by Donoughe’s team indicate a worrying trend in the evolving capabilities of technology and biosecurity vulnerabilities.
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