"In a new report, researchers from Yale's Budget Lab and the Brookings Institution said they had found no evidence of any "discernible disruption" to jobs since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT in November 2022. The study found that most of the ongoing shifts in the U.S. occupational mix, a measure of the types of jobs people hold, were already underway in 2021, and recent changes don't appear any more dramatic."
"'While the occupational mix is changing more quickly than it has in the past, it is not a large difference and predates the widespread introduction of AI in the workforce,' the researchers wrote in the report. 'Currently, measures of exposure, automation, and augmentation show no sign of being related to changes in employment or unemployment.' Industries with higher AI exposure, such as Information, Financial Activities, and Professional and Business Services, have seen some downward shifts, but these trends largely began before ChatGPT's launch."
Analysis from Yale's Budget Lab and the Brookings Institution found no evidence of a discernible disruption to jobs since OpenAI's ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Most occupational-mix shifts were already underway by 2021 and recent changes do not appear more dramatic. Current measures of exposure, automation, and augmentation show no relationship with employment or unemployment changes. Industries with higher AI exposure—Information, Financial Activities, and Professional and Business Services—have seen some downward shifts, but those trends largely predate ChatGPT. Historical workplace disruptions have unfolded over decades, suggesting AI-driven labor-market change may also be gradual.
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