
"The model opens up the intriguing possibility that much of today's work may not be essential for future growth and may never be automated."
"AGI does not render human skills obsolete; it revalues them."
"If compute and human skill are the only scarce resources, average wages are higher in a post-AGI world."
"Labor's relative role shrinks as compute is directed toward bottleneck work critical for future progress."
Pascual Restrepo's research suggests that artificial general intelligence will not automate most human jobs because they are not essential for future growth. Instead, compute resources will focus on critical tasks like reducing existential risks and mastering fusion energy. Human skills will not become obsolete but will be revalued based on the opportunity cost of compute. In a post-AGI world, average wages may increase, but the role of labor will diminish as compute becomes the scarce resource.
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