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fromJezebel
19 hours agoThe Stock Market Can Stay Irrational Longer than You Can Stay Solvent
Allbirds' stock surged 600% after announcing a shift to AI, illustrating market irrationality during manias.
Annaly's dividend coverage is tight but intact. The company paid $0.70 per share quarterly throughout 2025, and its non-GAAP earnings available for distribution covered that payout in every quarter, ranging from $0.72 to $0.73 per share.
Occidental's operational story is strong, with Q4 2025 production hitting 1,481 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding guidance, and the Permian Basin setting a record at 800 Mboed in Q3 2025.
The VIX closed last week at almost 27, an 11% jump on the final trading day, and early signals this week show it climbing further. The fear gauge now sits at its 93rd percentile over the past year, meaning volatility has been this elevated or higher only 7% of trading days in the last 12 months.
The Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (NYSEARCA:DBC) is up 42% over the past year, and nearly 29% year-to-date. These gains reflect a war that has scrambled global commodity supply chains from crude oil to wheat to fertilizer.
Larry Fink stated, 'I could paint a scenario where I could see, a year from now, oil at $40 a barrel.' This projection indicates a potential collapse of roughly 58% from current prices, which would significantly impact companies reliant on fuel costs.
Hedge funds and other money managers spent $2.8 billion on alternative data in 2025, according to a new report from consultancy Neudata, a 17% jump from the year before. It's more than double what asset managers spent on alternative data in 2021, which includes a wide range of non-traditional information sources. The report projects that the total spend on alternative datasets could jump to more than $23 billion in the consultancy's bull case in 2030 and just under $8 billion in the bear case.
Over time, markets get ahead of themselves. Excitement over AI, green energy, or whatever the next big thing is tends to push stock valuations far beyond what fundamentals justify. Accordingly, more often than not, a correction can be the catalyst that brings valuation discipline back into the discussion. Think of it as the market taking a deep breath.
Over the last few years, the market has seen a number of trends that have led to huge market moves. Apart from AI, which is the main impetus to the jet fueled "Magnificent 7" tech stocks leading the S&P 500 and still going strong, some of the booms that became busts in the latter part of 2025 going into January 2026 are: ETFs with extreme leverage Ultra high yield ETFs using options for income