#retirement-income-risk

#retirement-income-risk

Some financial experts recommend enjoying a portion of the windfall while allocating the rest towards savings or investments to ensure long-term benefits.

High-yield savings accounts (HYSAs) are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or the National Credit Union Administration up to $250,000, per depositor, per insured institution.

For decades, retirement planning has assumed inflation would average around 2-2.5% annually, and financial planners built withdrawal strategies, income projections, and spending budgets around this number. Then 2021 happened, then 2022 happened, and suddenly the world saw inflation numbers hovering around 7%, 8%, and even 9% depending on where and how it was measured. Thankfully, inflation has cooled off from those levels, and today it's hovering right around 3%, rather than even higher, even though the Fed did promise a 2% inflationary number.

A market downtown in the first few years of retirement, combined with regular withdrawals, can permanently damage a portfolio's ability to sustain income over time. The same downturn occurring 10 or 15 years later, when withdrawals have already been funded by earlier growth, does far less harm.

A 65-year-old man today can expect to live to 84 years old, while a 65-year-old woman can expect to live until 86. For plan sponsors and advisers, that translates into a potential distribution horizon of at least 20 to 30 years. Without incorporating realistic longevity assumptions into glide path design, withdrawal strategies and income solutions, participants face a heightened risk of outliving their savings.

While over-diversification is not a term you hear often, the financial industry has spent decades telling investors that more is better. More funds, more sectors, more geographic exposure, and more asset classes, galore. The thing is, when a retiree holds 15 or 20 ETFs across overlapping strategies, the result isn't going to be safety, more like dilution.

He said that while many people set target retirement ages, people in the FIRE movement set target portfolio numbers. Unfortunately, he believes this is "inherently riskier" because you're biased towards being exposed to risk as long as possible to help your wealth grow quickly - unlike people who usually rebalance their portfolios and shift to safer assets as their retirement age nears.