#record-losses

#record-losses

Markets could remain sensitive to the developments in the Middle East. Tensions remain elevated in the region amid continued incidents in the Strait of Hormuz and a failed attempt for a second round of talks this week, undermining prospects for a near-term resolution.

Public sector net borrowing fell by £19.8 billion, or 13.1pc, to £132 billion over the 12 months to the end of March, the lowest level since 2022-23.

"If AI companies are unable to increase revenues with lightning speed, they won't be able to service their massive debt loads. And because of shady accounting strategies, the first big stumble will have everyone running for the exits, potentially triggering destabilizing losses in the financial sector and another 2008-style financial crisis."

Gold spot prices reached $4,829 per troy ounce at the end of the week, marking a fourth consecutive weekly gain. COMEX futures closed at $4,879, up 1.48%, driven by Iran's Strait of Hormuz truce and U.S. dollar weakness.

The most senior officials from the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England are expected to take part in a desktop stress test to respond to another Lehman Brothers-style collapse.

In my view, interest rates are more likely than not going to head lower over the course of 2026 and into 2027. I'm not saying we're due for a pandemic-like selloff, but I do think that weakness in the labor market is likely more protracted than the government data suggest. As such, I do think the makeup of the Federal Reserve, and which way many of its presidents and voting members lean (toward providing support for the labor market over battling inflation) could lead to much faster rate cuts than many think.

Goldman Sachs now expects Brent crude to average $105 per barrel in March and $115 in April before retreating to $80 by year-end, assuming roughly six weeks of Hormuz supply disruptions.

Rising inflation concerns, hawkish monetary policy signals, and escalating geopolitical tensions weighed on risk assets. Energy markets are adding to the pressure. Oil prices surged following renewed attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East, intensifying concerns about inflationary pressure.