#hyper-uncertainty
#hyper-uncertainty
[ follow ]
#decision-making
Mindfulness
fromPsychology Today
17 hours agoWhat to Do When You Don't Know What to Do
Accepting mistakes and being honest with oneself are crucial for navigating uncertainty in decision-making.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
6 days agoPeople who research every decision exhaustively before acting aren't thorough - they're trying to build a guarantee in a world that doesn't sell them because the last time they trusted their gut without evidence something expensive happened and the body never forgot the bill - Silicon Canals
Chronic overanalysis of decisions stems from past failures, leading to wasted time and missed opportunities.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
1 week agoTaking the Pressure Off of Decision-Making
Decision-making is often stressful due to unconscious biases and insufficient information, but clarity and self-awareness can ease the process.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
6 days agoPeople who research every decision exhaustively before acting aren't thorough - they're trying to build a guarantee in a world that doesn't sell them because the last time they trusted their gut without evidence something expensive happened and the body never forgot the bill - Silicon Canals
Chronic overanalysis of decisions stems from past failures, leading to wasted time and missed opportunities.
#prediction-markets
World politics
fromenglish.elpais.com
6 days agoExperts call for tighter controls on prediction markets: They pose underappreciated threats to democratic integrity'
Prediction markets raise ethical concerns and potential manipulation risks, prompting calls for stricter regulation to protect democratic integrity.
Law
fromFast Company
1 month agoTraders flocked to prediction markets-now a criminal case is testing the model
Arizona filed criminal charges against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, for operating an illegal gambling business and allowing bets on political races, despite the platform being federally legal as a financial trading platform.
World politics
fromenglish.elpais.com
6 days agoExperts call for tighter controls on prediction markets: They pose underappreciated threats to democratic integrity'
Prediction markets raise ethical concerns and potential manipulation risks, prompting calls for stricter regulation to protect democratic integrity.
Law
fromFast Company
1 month agoTraders flocked to prediction markets-now a criminal case is testing the model
Arizona filed criminal charges against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, for operating an illegal gambling business and allowing bets on political races, despite the platform being federally legal as a financial trading platform.
#artificial-intelligence
fromThe Verge
15 hours agoAI failure could trigger the next financial crisis, warns Elizabeth Warren
"If AI companies are unable to increase revenues with lightning speed, they won't be able to service their massive debt loads. And because of shady accounting strategies, the first big stumble will have everyone running for the exits, potentially triggering destabilizing losses in the financial sector and another 2008-style financial crisis."
Venture
fromwww.theguardian.com
5 days agoCentral bank bosses enlist for war game to gauge threat of Lehman-style bust
The most senior officials from the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England are expected to take part in a desktop stress test to respond to another Lehman Brothers-style collapse.
World news
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
5 days agoPsychology suggests people who dislike surprises, even good ones, are running a system that values safety over delight - not because they don't want to feel joy but because joy that arrives without warning feels almost identical to danger in a body that was trained to treat the two as the same thing - Silicon Canals
Unexpected surprises can trigger a fight-or-flight response due to a nervous system trained to perceive unpredictability as a threat.
Mental health
fromSilicon Canals
6 days agoNot everyone who avoids looking at their bank account is financially irresponsible. Some people grew up in households where money conversations preceded every serious conflict, and the avoidance is a nervous system trying to prevent a fight that already happened decades ago. - Silicon Canals
Money avoidance often stems from past trauma rather than a lack of financial knowledge or discipline.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
2 weeks agoThe people who always have a backup plan aren't pessimists. They grew up in environments where promises were unreliable, and redundancy became the only architecture that didn't collapse when someone changed their mind without warning. - Silicon Canals
Obsessive planners are often generous, driven by past experiences that teach them to prepare for uncertainties.
Mental health
fromSilicon Canals
1 month agoThere's a specific kind of financial anxiety that has nothing to do with how much money you have. It belongs to people who finally became comfortable but never updated the internal math that was written during scarcity, so every purchase still runs through a threat calculator from 1997. - Silicon Canals
Financial anxiety often stems from past experiences rather than current financial realities, affecting decision-making even in improved circumstances.
from24/7 Wall St.
1 month agoWhen Fear Spikes, These 5 Quiet, Overlooked Stocks Keep Delivering
When fear spikes, most investors flee to gold or Treasuries. But five quietly resilient stocks have been doing the work all along, and most investors aren't paying attention. The ranking below weighs dividend stability, earnings consistency, balance sheet strength, and cash flow predictability in a turbulent environment.
Business intelligence
US news
fromFortune
1 month agoU.S. stocks are being battered by 'AI derangement syndrome' and CEOs are learning not to talk about it | Fortune
U.S. equities underperform globally due to investor skepticism toward AI-linked stocks, with the S&P 500 up only 0.93% year-to-date while foreign markets surge significantly higher.
from24/7 Wall St.
1 month ago3 Reasons Not to Fear a Market Correction, But Cheer for One
Over time, markets get ahead of themselves. Excitement over AI, green energy, or whatever the next big thing is tends to push stock valuations far beyond what fundamentals justify. Accordingly, more often than not, a correction can be the catalyst that brings valuation discipline back into the discussion. Think of it as the market taking a deep breath.
Business intelligence
from24/7 Wall St.
1 month agoThe Silent Risk of Over Diversification in Retirement Portfolios
While over-diversification is not a term you hear often, the financial industry has spent decades telling investors that more is better. More funds, more sectors, more geographic exposure, and more asset classes, galore. The thing is, when a retiree holds 15 or 20 ETFs across overlapping strategies, the result isn't going to be safety, more like dilution.
Retirement
fromBusiness Insider
2 months ago'Black Swan' fund chief Mark Spitznagel predicts stocks will explode higher then crash
"I've been looking for a blow-off in equities for over three years now - followed by the worst crash since 1929," Mark Spitznagel, the founder and chief investor of Universa Investments, told Business Insider in a recent email.
Venture
fromSilicon Canals
2 months agoPsychology says people who always pay with exact change display these 7 personality traits that go beyond just being organized - Silicon Canals
They're displaying a fascinating set of personality traits that go much deeper than having their finances sorted. 1) They have exceptional impulse control Think about what it takes to always have exact change ready. You need to resist the urge to spend those coins on vending machines or leave them as tips. You have to plan ahead, knowing what you'll buy and preparing accordingly.
Psychology
[ Load more ]