"The ceasefire announcement between the US and Iran has been met with understandable relief. Talks are now set to take place in Islamabad on Friday, offering a chance to step back from the immediate danger of a wider war."
"Despite claims of success from all sides, the reality is that no party was winning the war. President Donald Trump has framed the conflict as both a military victory and a step towards regime change in Iran."
"Iran retains operational capacity and continues to pose threats across multiple domains. Its leverage over the strait of Hormuz, along with its missile and drone capabilities, ensures that it remains capable of inflicting damage and shaping events beyond its borders."
"Tehran will now face monumental political and economic challenges from its traumatised population, and contend with anger from its neighbours, isolating it within the region."
The ceasefire announcement between the US and Iran has provided relief and an opportunity for talks in Islamabad. This moment should be seen as a pause rather than a resolution. The conflict has not resulted in a military victory for any side, and the war has damaged US credibility. Iran has not achieved a definitive win either, facing significant military degradation and internal challenges. The regional implications are severe, with Gulf states and Israel exposed to threats and instability.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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