Glimpsing Victory in Iran
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Glimpsing Victory in Iran
"American and Israeli aircraft are operating over Iran with near-total freedom, striking military infrastructure, command nodes, and strategic assets across the country. Iran's air-defense network has been badly degraded, and its navy reduced to a fraction of its former capacity. Its ballistic-missile program-the backbone of Tehran's ability to coerce the region-has suffered immense damage."
"Israeli military assessments indicate that 160 to 190 launchers have been destroyed and roughly 200 more disabled, while perhaps 150 remain active. Missile inventories have been sharply diminished, and production lines and storage facilities repeatedly struck. Ballistic-missile launches have fallen by more than 90 percent since the war began, and Iran's one-way-attack-drone launches have dropped by more than 95 percent."
"Just as important, the human system behind the arsenal is fraying. Missile crews are reportedly reluctant to leave cover, desertions are increasing, refusals to obey orders are surfacing, and American and Israeli forces continue hunting launchers daily. Indeed, each Iranian launch is becoming a suicide mission for those conducting the firing."
Two weeks into the combined U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran, significant military degradation has occurred across multiple domains. American and Israeli aircraft operate with near-total air superiority, striking military infrastructure and strategic assets throughout the country. Iran's air-defense network has been substantially weakened, and its navy significantly reduced. The ballistic-missile program, central to Tehran's regional coercion strategy, has suffered extensive damage with 160-190 launchers destroyed and approximately 200 disabled. Ballistic-missile launches have declined over 90 percent and drone launches over 95 percent. Beyond hardware destruction, the human systems supporting these arsenals are deteriorating, with missile crews reluctant to operate, increasing desertions, and refusals to obey orders reported.
Read at The Atlantic
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