"Trump will have to show that Iran has made no permanent gain by taking control of shipping passing through the strait of Hormuz. These are the yardsticks, or tests, around which his negotiating team will be keeping an anxious eye."
"Any Islamabad deal will be better than the JCPOA since it will contain no sunset clauses, one of Trump's major criticisms of the Obama deal. The new deal will have datelines for specific events to be triggered, but overall the deal is intended to be for ever."
"In the Geneva talks held on 26 February, the US team, on Trump's instruction, demanded Iran suspend all domestic enrichment for 10 years. Iran's foreign minister indicated he thought three years was the maximum the Iranian system would wear."
Trump must demonstrate that any new deal with Iran surpasses the 2015 JCPOA and the February Geneva offer. He needs to prove that Iran has not gained permanent control over shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The nature of Iran's nuclear program has changed since 2015, and new issues like ballistic missiles are now more significant. The new deal is expected to lack sunset clauses, aiming for permanence. Key points include Iran's uranium enrichment, with the US demanding a 10-year suspension, while Iran suggests a maximum of three years.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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