Goldman warns of 'very painful' natural gas shock that could rival oil crisis
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Goldman warns of 'very painful' natural gas shock that could rival oil crisis
""There is a risk that this just drags so much that it makes the process very painful," said Samantha Dart, the co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs, highlighting the potential long-term impacts of the disruptions on natural gas supply."
""Whatever impact that has had on inventories today, we have to offset it completely by the end of October," Dart emphasized, indicating the urgency of restoring supply before peak winter demand."
""It doesn't take three years to fix anything. What they are really saying is these two liquefaction trains were so damaged that we need to start over. We need to rebuild them from scratch," Dart explained, underscoring the severity of the damage to Qatar's LNG infrastructure."
Qatar, supplying one-fifth of the world's liquefied natural gas, faces production disruptions at its Ras Laffan facility due to recent attacks. Goldman Sachs analyst Samantha Dart warns that these issues could lead to painful supply shortages, especially with winter approaching. Natural gas is crucial for electricity and heating, and seasonal inventory buildup is necessary. Current supply shocks may force prices higher if not resolved by October. Repairs to Qatar's LNG infrastructure could take three to five years, leading to further price increases and limited alternatives like coal.
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