"The first clue to discerning the Nationals' chances against the Mets is to look at their head-to-head record recently. The Nationals are 4-6 against the Mets this year, and were 2-11 in 2024, 6-7 in 2023, and 5-14 in 2022. Even considering that New York has been a pretty good team during that time and Washington has been bad, that's a pretty surprisingly lopsided situation."
"The starting pitching matchups should also offer insight. It looks like the Mets will be sending out youngsters Brandon Sproat and Nolan McLean and then veteran Clay Holmes. That doesn't sound super intimidating, although Sproat and especially McLean have impressed in limited sample sizes this year. McLean has been particularly phenomenal; he has a miniscule 1.19 ERA in 37.2 innings. It's worth noting, though, that all three are righties, and the Nationals have an offense full of lefties and switch hitters."
The Nationals' 2025 season has long been over and most opponents also lack playoff stakes. Washington's fourth remaining series is against the Mets, who are 77-73 and clinging to the final National League wild-card spot with several teams close behind. The Mets need wins against Washington, especially with upcoming series versus the Padres and Cubs. Recent head-to-head results heavily favor the Mets, with Washington 4-6 this year and far worse in prior seasons. The Mets plan to start Brandon Sproat, Nolan McLean and Clay Holmes, and McLean has a 1.19 ERA in 37.2 innings. All three are right-handers against a Nationals lineup of many lefties and switch hitters.
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