The statistical odds that the Nationals snag the No. 1 pick is 10.2 percent, a vast increase from last year when they couldn’t draft higher than 10th.
The lottery rules, set in the current CBA, are designed to prevent tanking, meaning if the Nationals are picked Top-6, they risk significant implications for the 2026 draft.
Baseball America and MLB Pipeline have noted that the top four amateur draft-eligible players remain consistent, although their order has been updated ahead of the lottery.
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