"For a team looking to prove its stunning run to the NFC Championship game last winter was no fluke, it's less than ideal. Critics have loudly speculated all offseason that the Commanders are due for regression in 2025, and their preseason performance has validated that. It's also only preseason. What happens in August correlates very little with what happens between September and December, and ideally for Washington, in January and February. The trends regarding the Commanders' recent preseasons back it up: this means nothing."
"Last year, Washington won only one of its three preseason games. The team lost 17-20 to the New York Jets and 6-13 to the Miami Dolphins before beating the New England Patriots 20-10. It was far from the type of performance that would have suggested the Commanders were about to go 12-5 and win two road playoff games. But the real proof of the preseason's meaninglessness was in 2023."
The Washington Commanders performed poorly in the recent preseason, prompting criticism and speculation of regression for 2025. Preseason results correlate very little with regular-season outcomes, reducing the significance of August performances for evaluating season prospects. Historical preseason trends for Washington demonstrate randomness as a predictor of success. In 2024 the team won only one of three preseason games yet finished 12-5 and won two road playoff games. In 2023 Washington went 3-0 in the preseason, including a 29-28 win over Baltimore, but finished 4-13 with lethargic, undisciplined play. Previous winless preseasons did not reliably predict regular-season records.
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