Why NJ gov poll that shows Mikie Sherrill up 5 points is actually really bad news for her
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Why NJ gov poll that shows Mikie Sherrill up 5 points is actually really bad news for her
""As all eyes turn to New Jersey's governor's race as a test of the nation's political mood, the contest has narrowed in its final weeks," explained Ashley Koning, an assistant research professor and director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University-New Brunswick. "Polls show a close race as voters tune in and opinions solidify, but the outcome will ultimately hinge on each campaign's turnout operation. This is especially true in off-year elections, which are usually accompanied by comparatively smaller and less predictable electorates.""
""This garbage pollster missed by 5 in 2021 and 14 in 2024. I'm now convinced it's really Jack +2," political commentator Matt Rooney mused about the survey."
Mikie Sherrill holds a 50% to 45% lead over Jack Ciattarelli in the latest Rutgers-Eagleton poll of likely New Jersey voters. The poll has previously underestimated Republican performance, missing by five points in 2021 and by 14 points in 2024, raising questions about its accuracy. Sherrill's advantage has sharply declined from a 20-point lead in June and is close to the poll's 4.7-point margin of error. RealClearPolitics shows a 4.1-point Sherrill lead. Analysts emphasize that turnout operations will likely determine the final outcome in this off-year election.
Read at New York Post
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