"This shutdown will affect only DHS, whose spending authority is being held hostage as the two parties haggle over proposed "guardrails" to keep ICE and Border Control agents from killing people and terrorizing communities. The grand irony, of course, is that the shutdown will not affect immigration enforcement at all, which was given a separate, unimaginably large source of funding in last year's One Big Beautiful Bill Act. So it's the non-immigration elements of DHS that will take the hit."
"The earlier partial government shutdown that began on January 31 and ended on February 3 involved a much bigger batch of hostages: funding for giant departments like Defense, HHS, HUD, and Transportation. The deal that ended it basically released those hostages but kept DHS tied up. And that's where it could remain for some time. As Punchbowl News reports, the two sides appear to be hardening their positions on ICE reform:"
The House and Senate recessed for Presidents' Day without agreeing on DHS funding, triggering a partial government shutdown starting at midnight Friday. Only DHS funding will lapse because immigration enforcement received separate funding in last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, so non-immigration components will be furloughed. Negotiations focus on proposed "guardrails" for ICE and Border Control, and the parties are far apart on ICE reforms, making a prolonged shutdown possible. Subagencies such as FEMA, TSA, and the U.S. Coast Guard face operational and staffing impacts. Senate Democrats have largely remained united behind ICE demands, with only Sen. John Fetterman joining Republicans on a failed procedural vote.
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