"One of the major narratives that came out of the very poor showing of Republicans in the 2025 elections is that the GOP struggles to win when Donald Trump is not on the ballot. Certainly the president himself shares that belief, as he said on Election Night in no uncertain terms: "'TRUMP WASN'T ON THE BALLOT, AND SHUTDOWN, WERE THE TWO REASONS THAT REPUBLICANS LOST ELECTIONS TONIGHT.""
"There's now little question that the president's job approval ratings have been steadily sliding downward for the last couple of months. On September 19 his net approval average at Silver Bulletin was at minus-7.5 percent (44.9 percent approval, 52.4 percent disapproval). On November 19 it was at minus-13.8 percent, which is a new low for his second term. The intensity of his unpopularity is high and rising:"
Republicans suffered a very poor showing in the 2025 elections amid a narrative that the party struggles without Donald Trump on the ballot. Polls indicate Trump is increasingly a drag on the GOP, with his weaknesses closely resembling the party's broader vulnerabilities from November 4. Job approval has fallen from a net minus-7.5 percent on September 19 to minus-13.8 percent on November 19, a second-term low, while 45.3 percent of Americans strongly disapprove. Net approval on immigration, trade, the economy, and inflation remains underwater, with several measures at second-term lows.
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