New mayoral poll shows Mamdani with comfortable double-digit lead, gap narrows considerably in head-to-head with Cuomo | amNewYork

"A new poll has found that Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani maintains a comfortable double-digit lead over both former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa in the 2025 mayoral election, although that margin between Mamdani and Cuomo would narrow considerably if Sliwa withdrew from the contest. The new poll by AARP and Gotham Polling & Analytics found that Mamdani holds a 14-point lead over Cuomo and a 24-point lead over Sliwa with 15 days remaining until the Nov. 4 election."

"Mamdani, the clear frontrunner in the mayoral election, currently holds 43.2% support compared to Cuomo's 28.9% and Sliwa's 19.4%, with 8.4% of voters still undecided. However, Mamdani's lead shrinks considerably in a scenario where Sliwa exits the race before election day, the poll also found. In that scenario, Mamdani would enjoy support from 44.6% of voters, with Cuomo's support rocketing to 40.7%, leaving a margin of 3.9% between the two candidates, which falls within the poll's margin of error."

"The poll, conducted by Gotham Polling & Analytics in partnership with AARP between Oct. 1415, 2025, polled a sample of 1,040 likely general election voters in New York City using text-to-web methodology. Mamdani's lead narrows from August poll The study follows an August poll from AARP/Gotham when Mayor Eric Adams and independent candidate Jim Walden remained in the race. That poll found that Mamdani held an 18-point lead with all candidates in the field and an 11-point lead in a head-to-head contest with Cuomo."

Zohran Mamdani holds a substantial lead in the latest AARP/Gotham Polling & Analytics survey, with 43.2% support versus Andrew Cuomo's 28.9% and Curtis Sliwa's 19.4%, and 8.4% undecided. A hypothetical Sliwa withdrawal narrows Mamdani's advantage to 3.9 percentage points, placing Cuomo at 40.7% and Mamdani at 44.6%, within the poll's margin of error. The survey sampled 1,040 likely New York City general election voters via text-to-web between Oct. 14-15, 2025. An earlier August AARP/Gotham poll showed a larger lead for Mamdani: 18 points with all candidates and 11 points head-to-head with Cuomo.

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