
"The head of the Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division, Harmeet Dhillon, has reposted a prediction market wager on a possible DOJ prosecution. Dhillon reposted an X post from prediction market Polymarket promoting 36% odds on journalist Don Lemon being prosecuted by the DOJ, writing: "Three now arrested." This comes after a federal judge found no probable cause of Lemon committing a crime, following the Trump administration indicting three demonstrators at a Minnesota protest that the journalist was covering."
"Dhillon's post has sparked renewed concern that those in positions of power could influence prediction market odds, just a few weeks on from insider trading fears arising on Polymarket following the arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. An anonymous user made over $400,000 on a bet that Maduro would be replaced on the very same day that the Trump administration moved against him."
Harmeet Dhillon, head of the DOJ Civil Rights Division, reposted a Polymarket X post showing 36% odds that journalist Don Lemon would be prosecuted by the DOJ and added "Three now arrested." A federal magistrate judge found no probable cause that Lemon committed a crime after the Trump administration indicted three demonstrators at a Minnesota protest Lemon was covering. The repost renewed concerns about people in power influencing prediction-market odds. Recent Polymarket activity included an anonymous user making over $400,000 on a same-day bet about Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, prompting 30 members of Congress to back legislation to curb insider trading on prediction markets.
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