"Democrats are ahead, but they're only ahead by five with a president whose net approval rating is bordering on -20 to -30. You'd make the argument Democrats should be way ahead. And they're just only sort of, slightly ahead."
"I think five points is enough to take back the House, but in the Senate, five points is almost certainly not enough if you apply it to the Senate map."
"Republicans would win the Senate with this map. If they only hold onto the states that Trump won by greater than 10 points, that would give them the Senate 51 to 49."
Democrats currently hold a six-point lead in the generic congressional ballot, but this is historically low for a party with a Republican president. The average lead is only five points, significantly less than in previous election cycles. While this lead may be sufficient for regaining control of the House, it is unlikely to be enough for the Senate. Republicans are projected to maintain control of the Senate by winning states that Trump secured by over 10 points, despite potential Democratic gains in North Carolina and Maine.
Read at www.mediaite.com
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