"I mean, look, Donald Trump is a huge, huge drag in all these races," Enten said. "Look at his net popularity ratings in New Jersey. He's 11 points underwater. Virginia, 14 points underwater. Not much of a big surprise in New York [City], he's 35 points underwater. And I will note nationally in my aggregate of polls, he's about 13 points underwater. And in our CNN poll, he's way below that, which looks a lot like New Jersey, a lot like Virginia."
"He is a huge, huge drag across the board," Enten emphasized again."
"And when we're in this national polarized environment and Donald Trump is as unpopular as he is, I think that history is likely to hold," Enten said. "If, in fact, Democrats do sweep tomorrow, which at this point looks more likely than not."
Donald Trump's net popularity ratings show him 11 points underwater in New Jersey, 14 points underwater in Virginia, and 35 points underwater in New York City. National aggregates place him roughly 13 points underwater, with one CNN poll showing even lower standing. Those unpopularity figures are weighing on Republican prospects in the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races and the New York City mayoral contest, increasing the likelihood of Democratic wins. Historically, when Democrats have swept those three offices over the past ninety years, Democrats subsequently won the U.S. House in five of five instances, making these races potential midterm bellwethers.
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