Ian Bremmer from the Eurasia Group suggests that recent U.S. airstrikes on Iran's nuclear sites are not an initiation of a prolonged military campaign. Instead, they resemble a brief, decisive action that President Trump can support without alienating his base. Bremmer likened this strategy to engaging in a 'TikTok-style war'—immediate and impactful but not drawn out. Historical references indicate that similarly aggressive past actions did not escalate, pointing to Iran's likely muted retaliation as a signal of limited future engagement from the U.S.
"At this moment, this is not the Americans beginning a large-scale, grinding, drag-out, Ken Burns-style war... But rather the sort of very, very spectacular-couple of major strikes and done-TikTok-style war, which Trump's base can certainly get behind."
"If it's done by Iranian proxies, and it doesn't cause a lot of damage... it is plausible that this is kind of the peak of what the United States does."
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