Over the last few months, Nikki Haley has gained enough in the polls that she might be on the verge of surpassing Ron DeSantis as Donald J. Trump's principal rival in the race. With Ms. Haley still a full 50 percentage points behind Mr. Trump in national polls, her ascent doesn't exactly endanger his path to the nomination. If anything, she is a classic factional candidate someone who's built a resilient base of support by catering to the wishes of a minority of the party.
Ms. Haley is now neck-and-neck with Mr. DeSantis in Iowa, a state he is counting on to reverse a yearlong downward spiral in the polls. She's well ahead of Mr. DeSantis in New Hampshire and South Carolina, two states where a moderate South Carolinian like her ought to fare relatively well.
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