As Democrats analyze the fallout from the 2024 elections, they risk focusing too narrowly on data while ignoring deeper societal issues. A recent Catalist report provides insights on voter demographics but fails to adequately address the role of racial and gender animus in shaping voter preferences. While it highlights shifts among various demographic groups, such as increased support for Trump among educated white men, it relegates these crucial findings to secondary importance. This oversight reflects a broader tendency in Democratic analysis, which must evolve to recognize the complex tribal realities of American politics moving forward.
The greatest weakness in the Catalist report is the reluctance to seriously engage with the centrality of racial and gender animus as forces in politics.
Polling trends show that Kamala Harris lost ground among various demographic groups, but analysis often overlooks the significant role of misogyny.
While the focus is often on economic issues, the shifts among educated white male voters toward Trump highlight deeper societal resentments.
Democratic analyses tend to focus on data points without addressing the broader tribal realities that shape voter behavior.
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