A new Pew Research Center study reveals that President Trump would have won the 2024 presidential election with a broader margin had all eligible voters participated. Trump’s support was recorded at 49.7%, outpacing Kamala Harris at 48.2%. The study highlights a shift in voter preferences, with non-voters indicating they would have favored Trump over Harris, diverging from previous election patterns where higher turnout benefited Democrats. Trump's coalition also became more diverse and younger, while Harris' support base grew whiter, showcasing significant demographic changes from prior elections.
Pew's study shows Trump would have won 2024 even if all eligible voters participated, indicating a significant shift in voter preferences compared to previous elections.
The 2024 election saw Trump securing around 50% of the vote, and even full participation would have resulted in a wider victory margin for him.
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