If Sinema runs for a second term, she would create an unpredictable three-way race as an underdog independent attempting to peel voters from Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and Republican Kari Lake, her party's presumptive nominee.
Rosendale's decision is probably the most important to the Senate map. It would create a GOP primary that could force the national party to spend tens of millions of dollars and divide a state party that needs to throw a perfect game to beat incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.).
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