Donald Trump creates his own weather, and he has a coalition supporting him like no other Republican nominee in our lifetime, perhaps ever in Arizona. He’s breaking out of that rule, and it does not translate down-ballot.
The poll found Representative Ruben Gallego, the Democratic candidate for Senate, leading Kari Lake, a close ally of Mr. Trump's, by six percentage points, even as Mr. Trump has opened up a five-point lead in the state over Vice President Kamala Harris.
Democratic Senate candidates in a number of swing states, including Arizona and Nevada, have consistently polled ahead of the top of the ticket, especially when President Biden was the party's standard-bearer.
The gap between Ms. Harris and those down-ballot Democrats has narrowed but the trend persists in most races in swing states.
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