With Election Day less than eight weeks out, the two major party candidates - Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump - are locked in a closely contested race. Harris is leading her opponent, with support from 49% of voters compared to Trump's 47%, according to a New York Times analysis of major national polls. These numbers are expected to shift right up until the election, but even if Harris maintains her slim advantage in the national polls, a Democratic victory is by no means guaranteed.
In keeping with the pattern of other recent presidential elections, the outcome of the 2024 race will likely come down to a handful of so-called swing, or battleground states. The most competitive states in this election cycle are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In these places, the candidates are polling so closely that either one has a reasonable chance of winning in November.
Based on current polling results, political affiliation of the electorate, and historical voting patterns, Massachusetts is one of these states. According to official records from the Federal Election Commission, the last time Massachusetts went to a Republican candidate was in 1984, highlighting its strong Democratic leanings. This status as a Democratic stronghold means the state’s electoral outcome is effectively predetermined.
In stark contrast to these battleground states, most other states are considered a virtual lock for either Trump or Harris. The campaigns are concentrating their resources in these key areas, emphasizing that electoral strategies are focusing on gaining traction in battleground states where outcomes can still sway either way.
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