Historically, vice-presidential selections play only a minor role in the course of presidential elections, and Mr. Vance is probably less likely than most to change the direction of the race.
His basic political identity as a white, male, populist Trump loyalist reinforces the core message of the Trump ticket, making him less likely to alter the campaign significantly.
Mr. Vance's electoral record indicates he won the Senate primary with just 32% of the vote, mostly due to Trump's endorsement, suggesting he doesn't have special appeal to voters.
Even though Mr. Vance is well-known and articulate, it's unlikely he will overshadow the top-of-the-ticket and become a dominant storyline like Sarah Palin did in the past.
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