There is zero doubt he will challenge a loss, but much less clarity about how he will go about it, thanks to several important changes since 2020.
The Electoral Count Act of 2022 pretty much closed off Trump's favorite election-reversal strategies in 2020 - notably the fake elector and vice presidential coup gambits.
This hasn't been tested by the U.S. Supreme Court, but if it is and is upheld, the Electoral Count Reform Act scheme of ruling out any electoral vote award not made by the state-designated chief executive officer would fall.
Republican legislators (where they are in power after the 2024 election) would be newly invited to wreak havoc.
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