Labour likely to win next election with Burnham as leader, say party members UK politics live

"Unemployment in the UK has unexpectedly risen to 5% while wage growth has slowed, according to official figures, in the first snapshot of how companies are reacting to the impact of the Iran war, Tom Knowles reports."

"Labour members would rather have Burnham than Starmer as leader. Here are the figures when members were asked to rank eight possible candidates. When YouGov boiled it down to a choice between Starmer and Burnham, Burnham was ahead by a factor of 3 to 2."

"Labour party members believe the party is likely to win the next election with Burnham as leader, but not with Starmer as leader. These are perhaps the most important findings in the whole report. Labour members want Starmer to stand down before the next election even though generally they think he has done a good job as PM. Only 28% of members say Starmer should lead the party into the next election. But 66% say that Starmer has done either a fairly good (50%) or very good (16%) job as PM."

"Angela Rayner, the former deputy PM, has the highest favourability ratings of any potential leadership candidate despite not being the"

Unemployment in the UK rose unexpectedly to 5% while wage growth slowed, based on official figures. Labour leadership dynamics shifted as Wes Streeting declined to launch a leadership bid and resigned, while Andy Burnham positioned himself for a potential byelection. YouGov polling of Labour members showed Burnham ranked higher than Starmer among eight possible candidates. When reduced to a choice between the two, Burnham led by 3 to 2. Members believed Labour would be more likely to win the next election with Burnham as leader than with Starmer. Only 28% said Starmer should lead into the next election, despite 66% rating his performance as fairly good or very good as PM. Angela Rayner had the highest favourability ratings among potential candidates.

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