"Our latest projections indicate slower population growth than previously projected. This is mainly due to lower migration assumptions reflective of the recent steep fall in net migration and lower fertility assumptions."
"The projections are not forecasts nor predictions and are based on current and past trends. UK population growth is projected to slow even further during the 2030s and 2040s."
"Net migration, the difference between the number of people moving long-term to the country and the number leaving, is expected to be the only driver of population growth in the UK over the next few decades."
"Net migration to the UK stood at an estimated 204,000 in the year to June 2025, down 69% from 649,000 in the previous 12 months."
The UK population is expected to grow by 1.7 million from 2024 to 2034, reaching 71 million, before declining in the mid-2050s. This growth is lower than previous projections due to a significant drop in net migration and lower fertility rates. The population is anticipated to peak at 72.5 million in 2054, then decrease to 71.4 million by 2074. Net migration will be the primary driver of growth, with a projected addition of 2.2 million people through migration by 2034.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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