"W hen it comes to the future of work, there is only one certainty. Anyone who tells you that they know what is going to happen is either lying to you or trying to sell you something. We are in uncharted territory. And there is a lot of uncertainty. What we do know is that a lot is going to change. When I first started working on AI, there were three major camps when it came to thinking about jobs:"
"AI, in combination with advanced robotics research, has put a lot of jobs under the pressure of potential automation. Already, AI is being used in manufacturing, health care, therapy, management, programming, the arts, and construction, to name a few-it has basically penetrated every industry. In 2013, a now infamous Oxford University study predicted that approximately 47 percent of American jobs would be at risk of automation in the near future."
The future of work is highly uncertain and rapid AI progress prevents confident predictions. Three positions emerged: complete economic obsolescence of human workers; a massive transition preserving human roles if managed to reduce suffering; and business-as-usual with no mass unemployment. The third view has fallen away after advances like ChatGPT; most researchers expect significant labor-market impacts, with many jobs facing automation risk. AI and advanced robotics already affect manufacturing, health care, therapy, management, programming, arts, and construction. Studies have estimated large percentages of jobs at risk, suggesting substantial workforce change is likely.
Read at The Walrus
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