"Clearly, AI will play a larger role in Linux and open source next year, but that's true of pretty much all technology. However, while AI will be used to help develop the Linux kernel, no one is predicting, a la Windows, that AI will be used to rewrite the entire codebase by 2030. That said, open source will remain at the heart of AI."
"For Linux, I see more desktop distributions aimed at ex-Windows users. As a result, the Linux desktop, which has already been growing faster than ever, will continue to grow even faster. Microsoft is helping by continuing to push AI down Windows users' throats. Attention Satya Nadella, Microsoft's CEO: Windows fans don't want AI. Sure, some do. Most, however, don't."
"You see, as Linus Torvalds himself pointed out long ago, we have too many Linux desktops. Imagine yourself at a grocery store in another country, and you want a new breakfast cereal. You're presented with over a hundred different boxes, and you don't know a thing about any of them. How will you decide? Or will you just throw up your hands and order Windows 12 via Amazon from back home because you can't make heads or tails of all the local cereals?"
Linux desktop adoption is poised to accelerate as more distributions target former Windows users and dissatisfaction with Windows grows. AI will play a larger role in Linux and open-source development, including assistance in kernel work, while open source will remain central to AI. Security across Linux and open-source projects is expected to improve. Microsoft's push to integrate AI into Windows, plus tighter application restrictions and potential subscription models, risks alienating users. Fragmentation among many Linux desktops creates a discovery challenge for newcomers. Firefox faces serious problems. Linux has growing opportunities if it can consolidate and attract disillusioned users.
Read at ZDNET
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