The Numbers Game: Will Serbia test spark Tuchels England era into life? - Soccer News
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The Numbers Game: Will Serbia test spark Tuchels England era into life? - Soccer News
"England may be winning, but they are far from setting the world alight. The latest instalment in Tuchel's underwhelming start came on Saturday, as the Three Lions eased their way to a win over Andorra. England won 2-0 at Villa Park, thanks to a Christian Garcia own goal and an effort from Declan Rice, but that is the least that could be expected when playing a team ranked 174th in the world by FIFA on home soil."
"What's expected? England are the favourites according to the Opta supercomputer, which has run 10,000 data-led simulations. The Three Lions came out on top in 50.3% of those, while Serbia claimed three points in 26.1%. A draw was the outcome 23.5% of the time. This will be England's first visit to Serbia as an independent nation, with their last away game against Yugoslavia coming in November 1987, winning 4-1 in a UEFA European Championship qualifier. Including Yugoslavia, Serbia, and Montenegro,"
Thomas Tuchel could become the fourth manager to win each of his first five competitive games in charge of England, joining Fabio Capello, Ron Greenwood and Sven-Goran Eriksson. England's wins under Tuchel have been unconvincing, exemplified by a 2-0 victory over Andorra at Villa Park via a Christian Garcia own goal and a Declan Rice strike, against a side ranked 174th by FIFA. Opta simulations rate England favourites to beat Serbia, with 50.3% probability, Serbia 26.1% and a draw 23.5%. The upcoming away match in Belgrade will be England's first visit to Serbia as an independent nation and presents a sterner test.
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