"However, the Gunners may be starting to feel the pressure after dropping two valuable points in a thrilling 2-2 draw with Sunderland prior to the hiatus, a result that allowed Manchester City to cut their lead at the summit from six points to four. They have also been rocked by several fitness concerns ahead of their return to action, with Gabriel Magalhaes potentially being the biggest loss after he was injured while representing Brazil."
"What's expected? The Opta supercomputer makes Arsenal strong favourites for victory on Sunday, with a 69% win probability. Spurs' hopes are rated at a mere 13.7%, with 17.3% of simulations finishing level. According to the supercomputer's 2025-26 season predictions, Arsenal's hopes of clinching the title dropped to 64.2% following their draw with Sunderland, but they are still significantly higher than those of second-placed Manchester City, at 22.4%."
Arsenal remain in control of the Premier League title race but dropped two points in a 2-2 draw with Sunderland, allowing Manchester City to cut the lead from six points to four. Several fitness concerns have emerged, with Gabriel Magalhaes potentially the biggest loss after sustaining an injury while representing Brazil. Opta projections make Arsenal strong favourites for the upcoming North London derby, assigning a 69% win probability and reducing title odds to 64.2% after the Sunderland draw, while Manchester City sit at 22.4%. Tottenham sit fifth, have adapted unevenly under Thomas Frank, and face a poor recent record against Arsenal.
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