The Numbers Game: Fulham eye derby upset as Rosenior gets Chelsea watching brief - Soccer News
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The Numbers Game: Fulham eye derby upset as Rosenior gets Chelsea watching brief - Soccer News
"Chelsea began the post-Enzo Maresca era with a creditable 1-1 draw against Manchester City on Sunday, with youth coach Calum McFarlane in the dugout. And the Blues' fans did not have to wait long to discover the identity of Maresca's permanent successor, with Liam Rosenior joining from Strasbourg on a six-and-a-half-year contract on Tuesday. Rosenior will be present when Chelsea make the short trip to Fulham for Wednesday's Premier League fixture, though he will be watching from the stands as McFarlane prepares the team."
"What's expected? The Opta supercomputer is siding with Chelsea ahead of this game, but not decisively so. The Blues are assigned a win probability of 42.1%, compared to Fulham's 32.4%. The remaining 25.5% of pre-match simulations were drawn. And in the model's 2025-26 season predictions, Chelsea are assigned a 22.3% chance of Champions League qualification. Fulham, meanwhile, are given a 2.6% chance of making the Europa League for 2026-27, following their recent upturn in form."
Chelsea began the post-Enzo Maresca era with a 1-1 draw against Manchester City, with youth coach Calum McFarlane in the dugout. Liam Rosenior joined from Strasbourg on a six-and-a-half-year contract and will attend the Fulham fixture while McFarlane prepares the team. Fulham are unbeaten in five Premier League games (three wins, two draws), moving within three points of Chelsea. The Opta supercomputer gives Chelsea a 42.1% win probability, Fulham 32.4% and 25.5% draws; season models assign Chelsea a 22.3% chance of Champions League qualification. Chelsea have won six of their last seven league visits to Craven Cottage.
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