"The Opta supercomputer makes Arsenal favourites for this match, with Mikel Arteta's side coming out on top in 43.8% of pre-match simulations. Bayern are assigned a 30.8% chance of victory, while 25.4% of projections saw the points shared. Arsenal are also the supercomputer's favourites to win the Champions League this season, with a 23% probability. Bayern are second-favourites at 16%. And the predictive model also backs the Gunners to top the league-phase standings with a 42.5% chance. Bayern are again second-favourites with a 33.7% probability."
"But history is against Arsenal, who have endured plenty of disappointment against Bayern in the past. These sides have faced off on 14 previous occasions in the Champions League, the most times Arsenal have faced any opponent in the competition. The Gunners are winless across the last five of those meetings since a 2-0 win in October 2015 (one draw, four losses), with three of their four defeats in that time coming via 5-1 scorelines."
Three teams — Inter, Arsenal and Bayern — won their first four 2025-26 Champions League matches, with Arsenal and Bayern meeting on Wednesday. Arsenal possess the continent's best defence while Bayern boast the most fearsome attack. Arsenal beat Tottenham comprehensively in the derby and Harry Kane returns to north London for the match. Opta's predictive model gives Arsenal a 43.8% chance to win, Bayern 30.8%, and a draw 25.4%. Opta rates Arsenal as 23% favourites to win the Champions League this season and Bayern at 16%. Historically, Arsenal are winless in their last five Champions League meetings with Bayern since a 2-0 victory in October 2015, suffering three 5-1 defeats in that span. Most recently, Bayern eliminated Arsenal in the 2023-24 quarter-finals with Joshua Kimmich's second-leg winner.
Read at Soccer News
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]