"Needing a goal to displace Marseille in the play-off places, Benfica goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin rose highest to meet Fredrik Aursnes' free-kick to score in the 98th minute. Trubin put his name in the Champions League history books, becoming only the fifth different goalkeeper to score in UEFA's flagship competition after Jorg Butt (three), Sinan Bolat, Vincent Enyeama and Ivan Provedel (one each)."
"What's expected? The Opta supercomputer is siding with Madrid, with their chances of victory rated at 49%. Across 10,000 pre-match simulations, Benfica were victorious in just 27.2%, with the remaining 23.8% of scenarios seeing it being all square ahead of the second leg. And Benfica may be considered as the underdogs given their poor record against LaLiga teams in UEFA's flagship. They have won just two of their last eight Champions League matches against Spanish opposition (D1 L5)."
Benfica secured a dramatic 4-2 victory at Estadio da Luz when goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin scored in the 98th minute from Fredrik Aursnes' free-kick, becoming the fifth goalkeeper to score in Champions League history. The win occurred twenty days before a scheduled rematch with Real Madrid, who have since won three consecutive LaLiga matches under Alvaro Arbeloa while contesting the top of the table with Barcelona. Benfica sit third in the Primeira Liga, seven points behind Porto. Opta simulations give Real Madrid a 49% chance to win, Benfica 27.2%, and a 23.8% probability of a draw. Benfica have won two of their last eight UCL matches against Spanish opponents (D1 L5).
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