"While a 12-game unbeaten run in all competitions may suggest the tide is turning at Liverpool, the mood is far from positive at Anfield ahead of their Champions League return. The Reds make the trip to Marseille this Wednesday in their penultimate league-phase encounter in the Champions League, hoping to edge closer to a top-eight finish. But they arrive in the south of France following a disappointing 1-1 draw with Burnley in the Premier League, a result that has once again put Arne Slot under increasing pressure."
"Liverpool are assigned a 46.8% chance of victory over their Ligue 1 opponents, with Marseille handed a 28.6% probability of taking all three points. A draw happened in 24.6% of those outcomes, though recent history between both of these sides in the competition suggests the likelihood of a stalemate is slim. Marseille are on a run of 30 Champions League games without a draw (W8 L22) while Liverpool have not drawn any of their last 27 (W19 L8)."
Liverpool travel to Marseille for a penultimate Champions League group match while seeking to climb into the top eight. A 12‑game unbeaten run across all competitions contrasts with low morale at Anfield after a 1-1 Premier League draw with Burnley that increased pressure on manager Arne Slot. European form has been stronger, including a 1-0 win over Inter through Dominik Szoboszlai's late penalty, leaving Liverpool on 12 points level with Inter, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid but placed ninth on goals scored. Marseille sit three points behind with hopes of automatic qualification. Opta simulations give Liverpool a 46.8% win probability, Marseille 28.6%, and a 24.6% chance of a draw. Both clubs have unusually long runs without draws in Champions League history.
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