"Arsenal were always expected to be in the hunt for a first league crown since their Invincible season in 2003-04, and after 18 matchdays, the Opta supercomputer assigns them a 64.9% chance of becoming champions of England. Manchester City were also favoured by many in pre-season and are assigned a 26.7% title probability, but Aston Villa's challenge has now come out of the blue - they win the title in 7.6% of season simulations."
"Across 10,000 match simulations, the Gunners were victorious in 58.6%, with Villa winning 19.8%. The remaining 21.5% of sims finished all square. That is despite recent history in this fixture being on the Villans' side. Emiliano Buendia's late goal guided Villa to a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture on December 6, and they could now secure a Premier League double over Arsenal."
Arsenal and Aston Villa meet at Emirates Stadium on the final Premier League matchday of 2025 with Arsenal holding a 64.9% title probability, Manchester City 26.7%, and Aston Villa 7.6% in Opta simulations. Opta's 10,000-match simulations give Arsenal a 58.6% chance to win this fixture, Villa 19.8%, and 21.5% for a draw. Villa beat Arsenal 2-1 in the reverse fixture on December 6 through Emiliano Buendia and can complete a Premier League double. Villa previously completed doubles in 2020-21 and 2023-24 and only once in 1992-93. Villa are unbeaten in their last two away league games at Arsenal and could set a new club-record winning streak; the match would be particularly significant for Unai Emery, who was sacked by Arsenal in November 2019.
Read at Soccer News
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