"You know it's probably going to be Arsenal or Manchester City for the Premier League title; Burnley, and someone else for relegation; and one of, like, eight or nine different teams for the final two or three UEFA Champions League places. These are the races that matter. These are the races we talk about. They frame everything that happens with a given club: Is the manager keeping the team safe from relegation? Are the new signings boosting the midtable club into the European places?"
"But in reality, clubs don't function in this way. Or at least, they shouldn't function in this way. They're signing players, developing talent, and acquiring coaches with a multi-year view into the future. If everyone only cared about this season, every player in the league would be 27 years-old. So, today, we're going to rank all 20 Premier League clubs based on how the future looks."
Premier League attention often centers on title, relegation, and Champions League qualification races, but clubs generally plan across multiple years. Future prospects depend on squad age, the market value of players aged 23 and under, the likelihood of managerial continuity and replaceability, and the overall health of ownership and decision-makers. The ranking assesses 20 clubs by combining those inputs to estimate each club's chance of delivering self-defined successful seasons in coming years. Metrics include FBref-weighted average squad age and Transfermarkt valuations, alongside qualitative evaluation of managerial stability and organizational strength.
Read at ESPN.com
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