"Arne Slot led the Reds to the 2024-25 title in his first season in charge as they finished 10 points clear of second-placed Arsenal. And now, the CIES (International Centre for Sports Studies) Football Observatory, has said Liverpool have the highest probability of lifting the trophy again, with a 28.9% chance. Arsenal are given a 18.8% chance of winning the title, while Chelsea (16.2%) rank third - ahead of 10-time champions Manchester City on 14.4%."
"The CIES Football Observatory have developed a statistical model for predicting which clubs will win the title in 29 leagues. The model combines sporting, economic and demographic variables, taking several factors into account - such as passes into the final third and transfer fees . Out of the 29 leagues, Crvena Zvezda in Serbia have the highest likelihood of winning the title with a 76.2% chance."
Arne Slot led Liverpool to the 2024-25 title in his first season, finishing 10 points clear of Arsenal. Liverpool have a 28.9% probability of winning the upcoming Premier League title, followed by Arsenal on 18.8%, Chelsea on 16.2% and Manchester City on 14.4%; Manchester United are given a 2.6% chance. Celtic are 63.3% likely to retain the Scottish Premiership while Rangers sit at 28.9%. Real Madrid (40.6%) and Barcelona (29.6%) top La Liga projections. Bayern Munich are 61.4% likely in the Bundesliga, Inter Milan lead Serie A projections at 25.6%, and Paris St-Germain have a 73.0% chance in Ligue 1. The CIES model evaluates 29 leagues using sporting, economic and demographic variables including passes into the final third and transfer fees, with Crvena Zvezda holding the highest single-league probability at 76.2%.
Read at www.bbc.com
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