The draft pick is top 10 protected, so if Pittsburgh misses the playoffs and is in the draft order's top 10 as a result of the lottery, it can keep the pick and transfer its 2025 first-round selection to the Sharks instead.
Teams that finish the regular season between 11th and 16th in the overall standings have between a 3.0% and 0.5% chance of winning the lottery, although, per league rules, those teams can only move up a maximum of 10 spots in the draft order.
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