November mailbag, Part 1
Briefly

It's the time of the year where life is both incredibly quiet and wildly hectic for the San Francisco Giants, and all of baseball, really. There are rumors, ideas, speculation, and momentum flying around, but nothing is really happening. That's when the questions start to pop up, so it seemed like a good time for a mailbag (or two!). Thanks everyone for the questions. Hopefully they lead to good transactions.
I'm fairly certain that this is illegal in all 50 states but you know..... ..... it never hurts to ask.
The parenthetical in your question makes this one especially hard, because Matt Chapman and Cody Bellinger have two of the least consistent contract projections I've ever seen. The other day I compared the projected contracts for free agent targets from four of the best projections publications: MLB Trade Rumors, Fangraphs, ESPN, and The Athletic. Chapman's four projections ranged from five years and $95 million to six years and $150 million. Bellinger's were even wilder, with the low end being seven years and $147 million, and the high end being 12 years and $264 million. I do think that both players would represent a massive upgrade for the Giants. Bellinger's inconsistency may be scary, but he has a star ceiling that the Giants are sorely lacking. His athleticism and base-stealing would be massive for San Francisco, and his ability to play a Gold Glove caliber center field or first base help the Giants roster-building flexibility. And he's only 28! Chapman is perhaps less of an upgrade, since he has a lower ceiling than Bellinger, and since J.D. Davis w
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