"I think his campaign is fading fast. Most of the polling has seen him slipping into fourth place," said Jim Ross, a veteran San Francisco political consultant. "If you're not in the top three at this point, you don't have a great path to being elected."
A TogetherSF poll published this week indicated that while Farrell, Mayor London Breed and Lurie are in a virtual tie for first-choice votes, Lurie had almost twice as many second-choice votes as Farrell. The San Francisco Chronicle also released a poll this week which showed Farrell's support dropped more than any candidate, compared to its August poll.
Despite this apparent drop in the rankings, Farrell seems to remain confident in his campaign. "We knew it was going to be tight until the end," he said, during a merchant walk in the Excelsior on Thursday afternoon. "At this point in time we feel very confident and excited about where we sit."
"His path to victory is to be able to effectively diminish Lurie's vote. That's his only path to victory," said Jim Stearns, Aaron Peskin's campaign strategist.
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