Will Ukraine's Incursion Into Russia Change the Trajectory of the War?
Briefly

Stanovaya highlighted that despite the difficulties faced by Russia, including sanctions and military setbacks, Putin's resolve to pursue his war aims has not wavered. This perspective implies that Western pressures might actually reinforce his narrative, leading him to interpret Ukrainian successes as confirmation of a need to strengthen his position rather than reconsider it.
When discussing the implications of a Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory, Stanovaya suggests that such moves may not necessarily provoke an immediate escalation from Putin. The Ukrainian attack might be seen as a significant event, yet it does not fundamentally change the dynamics for Putin, who is primarily focused on consolidating his existing power rather than launching retaliatory offensives.
Read at The New Yorker
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