The article discusses how Russia's battlefield strength in Ukraine has started to decline, facing serious potential shortages of both manpower and weaponry as officials predict difficulties by 2024. Despite the earlier commitments of harsh financial sanctions by President Trump, his recent shift towards exploring trade deals with Russia signals a retreat from active U.S. involvement in urging a ceasefire. The article highlights concerns over the ongoing war trends favoring Russia, although with steep personnel and equipment losses.
Absent a negotiated settlement or 'robust' Western assistance, the war 'probably will continue to slowly trend in Russia's favor through 2025,' according to a U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency assessment.
Russian gains 'are slowing and continue to come at the expense of high personnel and equipment losses,' indicating potential future vulnerabilities for Russian forces.
Since its February 2022 invasion, the DIA assessment reported that Russia has 'lost at least 10,000 ground combat vehicles, including more than 3,000 tanks.'
Trump appears to have abandoned the threat of harsh financial sanctions on Moscow, opting instead for potential new trade deals, marking a significant shift in U.S. policy.
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