"A lasting agreement would necessarily have to include reinforcing and sustaining Ukraine's posture in order to credibly deter Russia from taking another crunch," said Cormarie.
"Given its own track record in Ukraine, Russia has a history of taking 'a crunch at a time,'" noted Paul Cormarie, a policy analyst at the RAND Corporation.
"Putin has said that as a condition of any peace deal, Ukraine must agree to remain neutral," highlighting the potential hurdles for security guarantees in a Trump-led peace talk.
"The details of a prospective Trump peace deal in Ukraine are unclear, but they don't appear likely to include support for Ukraine joining the NATO alliance that could best guarantee its security."
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