Representatives from Russia and Ukraine are set to negotiate a partial ceasefire under U.S. mediation, lasting only 30 days and excluding energy infrastructure strikes. This fragile agreement reflects deep-seated mistrust, as Ukraine recalls failed past negotiations. Demonstrators in Poland highlight concerns over security guarantees, particularly invoking the Budapest Memorandum of 1994. The ongoing conflict's roots trace back to Ukraine's emergence as an independent state, underscoring the complexities in achieving lasting peace amid historical grievances.
A demonstrator holds a sign that reads "Remember Budapest Memorandum 1994" during a protest outside the embassy of the United States of America in Warsaw, Poland earlier this month.
Peace is still a long way off. For starters it's only a partial ceasefire—no strikes on energy infrastructure. It's only for 30 days.
One of the biggest things working against a new agreement is what happened after Ukraine's last agreement with Russia. Ukraine says it won't trust a promise from Russia.
To understand why, you've got to go back to the birth of independent Ukraine.
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